The probability that a turbine will have a defective coil is 0.10, the probability that it will have defective blades is 0.15, and the probability that it will have both defects is 0.04. (a) what is the probability that a turbine will have one of these defects? (b) what is the probability that a turbine will have neither of these defects?

Respuesta :

When dealing with the union of two events, the formula states

[tex] P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B) [/tex]

You need to subtract elements belonging to both A and B, otherwise you would count them twice.

So, the probability that a turbine will have defective blades and defective coil is

[tex] P(both defective) = 0.1 + 0.15 - 0.04 = 0.21 [/tex]

To compute the probability of non-defective turbines, you can use this strategy: if we divide the sample space in subsets with no intersections, then they form a partition of the sample space, and you have

[tex] P(\Omega) = P(A_1)+P(A_2) + \ldots + P(A_n) [/tex]

where [tex] \Omega [/tex] is the sample space, and each [tex] A_i [/tex] is a subset of the partition.

In this case, we can use the following partition:

[tex] A_1 = \{ \text{coil defective only} \},\quad A_2 = \{ \text{blades defective only}\},\quad A_3 = \{ \text{both defective} \},\quad A_4 = \{ \text{non-defective}\} [/tex]

So, we have

[tex] P(\Omega) = 1 = P(A_1)+P(A_2)+P(A_3)+P(A_4) [/tex]

And we are interest in [tex] P(A_4) [/tex], so we have

[tex] 1 - P(A_1) - P(A_2) - P(A_3) = P(A_4) [/tex]

Now, the turbines with only defective coil are those with defective coils and non-defective turbines:

[tex] P(A_1) = P(\text{defective coil}) - P(\text{both defective}) = 0.1 - 0.04 = 0.06 [/tex]

Similarly,

[tex] P(A_2) = P(\text{defective blades}) - P(\text{both defective}) = 0.15 - 0.04 = 0.11 [/tex]

We already know [tex] P(A_3) = 0.04 [/tex], so we can solve

[tex] P(A_4) = 1-0.06-0.11-0.04 = 0.79 [/tex]

The probability that a turbine will have one of these defects is 0.21 and the probability that a turbine will have neither of these defects is 0.79 and this can be determined by using the given data.

Given :

The probability that a turbine will have a defective coil is 0.10, the probability that it will have defective blades is 0.15, and the probability that it will have both defects is 0.04.

a) The probability that a turbine will have one of these defects is calculated as:

[tex]\rm P = P(A\cup B)[/tex]

[tex]\rm P = P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cap B)[/tex]

Now, substitute the values of the known terms in the above expression.

P = 0.10 + 0.15 - 0.04

P = 0.21

b) The probability that a turbine will have neither of these defects is calculated as:

[tex]\rm P =1- P(A\cup B)[/tex]

Substitute the value of the known term in the above expression.

P = 1 - 0.21

P = 0.79

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