The principle of redundancy is used when system reliability is improved through redundant or backup components. Assume that a​ student's alarm clock has a 6.8​% daily failure rate.

a. What is the probability that the​ student's alarm clock will not work on the morning of an important final​ exam?

nothing ​(Round to three decimal places as​ needed.)
b. If the student has two such alarm​ clocks, what is the probability that they both fail on the morning of an important final​ exam?

nothing ​(Round to five decimal places as​ needed.)
c. What is the probability of not being awakened if the student uses three independent alarm​ clocks?

nothing ​(Round to five decimal places as​ needed.)
d. Do the second and third alarm clocks result in greatly improved​ reliability?
A.
​No, because total malfunction would still not be unlikely.
B.
​No, because the malfunction of both is equally or more likely than the malfunction of one.
C.
​Yes, because total malfunction would not be​ impossible, but it would be unlikely.
D.
​Yes, because you can always be certain that at least one alarm clock will work.

Respuesta :

Answer:


Step-by-step explanation:

let X be the random variable for number of times the clock fails .

X is Poisson with average = 6.8% = 0.0068

PDF of x = e^(-0.0068) 0.0068^x/x!

a) The probability that the​ student's alarm clock will not work on the morning of an important final​ exam = P(X=0) = 0.00675

b) If the student has two such alarm​ clocks,  the probability that they both fail on the morning of an important final​ exam:

Since both clocks are  independent prob for both failing is

P(x1 fails) *P(x2 fails) = 0.00675(0.00675) = 0.000455625

c) the probability of not being awakened if the student uses three independent alarm​ clocks = Prob for all 3 fails = 0.00675^3

= 0.00000307546

d) Yes. Because all three fail probability is almost zero.

D. ​Yes, because you can always be certain that at least one alarm clock will work.