In a given week, it is estimated that the probability of at least one student becoming sick is 17/23. Students become sick independently from one week to the next. Find the probability that there are at least 3 weeks of no sick students before the 2nd week of at least one sick student.

Respuesta :

Answer:

[tex]0.614[/tex]

Step-by-step explanation:

Let us suppose a time period "t" which is greater than 4 weeks.

Let us say

[tex]X = 1[/tex] for no sick student

[tex]X = 0[/tex] for sick student

Now the probability of at no sick student each week is given by

P [tex]= {1,1, 1,1}[/tex]

[tex](\frac{17}{23})^4[/tex]

There are other cases such as

[tex](1,1,1,0),(1,1,0,1),(1,0,1,1),(0,1,1,1)[/tex]

The probability of above cases is equal to

[tex](\frac{17}{23})^3*(1-\frac{17}{23})\\= (\frac{17}{23})^3 * \frac{6}{23}[/tex]

Now the probability of that there are at least 3 weeks of no sick students before the 2nd week of at least one sick student

= [tex](\frac{17}{23})^4 + 3*(\frac{17}{23})^3* \frac{6}{23} \\= \frac{171955}{279841} \\= 0.614[/tex]

Answer:

0.614

Step-by-step explanation:

Let the time be given by  = t

and P(S )  = probability that a person is sick

      P(s)    = probability that a person is not sick

P(s) = [tex](\frac{17}{23})^{23}* (1-\frac{17}{23})\\[/tex]

Then the probability for that there are at least 3 weeks of no sick students before the 2nd week of at least one sick student is given by:

[tex](\frac{17}{23})(\frac{17}{23})(\frac{17}{23})(\frac{17}{23}) + \frac{6}{23} + 3(\frac{17}{23})^{3}\\ = 0.614[/tex]