In a study of government financial aid for college​ students, it becomes necessary to estimate the percentage of​ full-time college students who earn a​ bachelor's degree in four years or less. Find the sample size needed to estimate that percentage. Use a 0.04 margin of error and use a confidence level of 99​%. Complete parts​ below.

​(a) Assume that nothing is known about the percentage to be estimated.
(b) Assume prior studies have shown that about 55​% of​ full-time students earn​ bachelor's degrees in four years or less.

Respuesta :

Answer:

a) n = 1037.

b) n = 1026.

Step-by-step explanation:

In a sample with a number n of people surveyed with a probability of a success of [tex]\pi[/tex], and a confidence level of [tex]1-\alpha[/tex], we have the following confidence interval of proportions.

[tex]\pi \pm z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}}[/tex]

In which

z is the zscore that has a pvalue of [tex]1 - \frac{\alpha}{2}[/tex]

The margin of error is:

[tex]M = z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}}[/tex]

99% confidence level

So [tex]\alpha = 0.01[/tex], z is the value of Z that has a pvalue of [tex]1 - \frac{0.01}{2} = 0.995[/tex], so [tex]Z = 2.575[/tex].

​(a) Assume that nothing is known about the percentage to be estimated.

We need to find n when M = 0.04.

We dont know the percentage to be estimated, so we use [tex]\pi = 0.5[/tex], which is when we are going to need the largest sample size.

[tex]M = z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}}[/tex]

[tex]0.04 = 2.575\sqrt{\frac{0.5*0.5}{n}}[/tex]

[tex]0.04\sqrt{n} = 2.575*0.5[/tex]

[tex](\sqrt{n}) = \frac{2.575*0.5}{0.04}[/tex]

[tex](\sqrt{n})^{2} = (\frac{2.575*0.5}{0.04})^{2}[/tex]

[tex]n = 1036.03[/tex]

Rounding up

n = 1037.

(b) Assume prior studies have shown that about 55​% of​ full-time students earn​ bachelor's degrees in four years or less.

[tex]\pi = 0.55[/tex]

So

[tex]M = z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}}[/tex]

[tex]0.04 = 2.575\sqrt{\frac{0.55*0.45}{n}}[/tex]

[tex]0.04\sqrt{n} = 2.575*\sqrt{0.55*0.45}[/tex]

[tex](\sqrt{n}) = \frac{2.575*\sqrt{0.55*0.45}}{0.04}[/tex]

[tex](\sqrt{n})^{2} = (\frac{2.575*\sqrt{0.55*0.45}}{0.04})^{2}[/tex]

[tex]n = 1025.7[/tex]

Rounding up

n = 1026.