The price of a certain security follows a geometric Brownian motion with drift parameter µ = 0.12 and the volatility parameter σ = 0.24.

(a) If the current price of the security is $40, find the probability that a call option, having four months until expiration and with a strike price of K = 42 will be exercised.

(b) In addition to the above information as in part (a) if the interest rate is 8%, find the risk-neutral arbitrage free valuation of the call option.

Respuesta :

Answer:

Brownian Motion- The usual model for the time-evolution of an asset price S(t) is given by the geometric Brownian motion.

Now the geometric Brownian motion is represented by the following stochastic differential equation:

  • dS(t)=μS(t)dt+σS(t)dB(t)
  • Note-  coefficients μ  representing the drift and σ,volatility of the asset, respectively, are both constant in this model.

To solve the problem now we have the been Data provided:

μ= 0.12,

σ=0.24,

Step-by-step explanation:

Step A:

we have, the variables of Black Scholes Model, by putting the values of variables available, we get:

  • S = Current stock price = 40 ,

  • K = Strike Price = 42 ,

Next is, "r" the risk free rate,

  • risk free rate, r = mu = 0.12 ,

  • Volatility, σ = 0.24

  • time to maturity, T, as we have;

  • T= 4 months = 4/12.
  • T = 1/3 year(360 days)

Step B:

We now need to calculate the parameter d₂ of the Black Scholes Model. .

  • The probability which we want is 1 - N(-d₂),

  • So, we have;

  • d₂=㏑(S/K)+(r-σ²/2)T/σ√T

Step C:

As step C is done on excel for further calculations so, do use it if you are solving it on computer.

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