During lunch​ hour, customers arrive at a fast food​ drive-through window, on​ average, every 3.8 minutes. Assume arrival time follows the exponential probability distribution. ​a) What is the probability that the next customer will arrive within the next 3 ​minutes? ​b) What is the probability that the next customer will arrive in more than 7 ​minutes? ​c) What is the probability that the next customer will arrive between 1 and 6 ​minutes?

Respuesta :

Answer:

a) 54.68% probability that the next customer will arrive within the next 3 ​minutes

b) 15.78% probability that the next customer will arrive in more than 7 ​minutes

c) 56.27% probability that the next customer will arrive between 1 and 6 ​minutes

Step-by-step explanation:

Exponential distribution:

The exponential probability distribution, with mean m, is described by the following equation:

[tex]f(x) = \mu e^{-\mu x}[/tex]

In which [tex]\mu = \frac{1}{m}[/tex] is the decay parameter.

The probability that x is lower or equal to a is given by:

[tex]P(X \leq x) = \int\limits^a_0 {f(x)} \, dx[/tex]

Which has the following solution:

[tex]P(X \leq x) = 1 - e^{-\mu x}[/tex]

During lunch​ hour, customers arrive at a fast food​ drive-through window, on​ average, every 3.8 minutes.

This means that [tex]m = 3.8, \mu = \frac{1}{3.8} = 0.2632[/tex]

a) What is the probability that the next customer will arrive within the next 3 ​minutes?

[tex]P(X \leq 3) = 1 - e^{-0.2638*3} = 0.5468[/tex]

54.68% probability that the next customer will arrive within the next 3 ​minutes

​b) What is the probability that the next customer will arrive in more than 7 ​minutes?

Either it will arrive in 7 minutes or less, or it will arrive in more than 7 minutes. The sum of the probabilities of these outcomes is decimal 1. So

[tex]P(X \leq 7) + P(X > 7) = 1[/tex]

We want P(X > 7). So

[tex]P(X > 7) = 1 - P(X \leq 7)[/tex]

[tex]P(X \leq 7) = 1 - e^{-0.2638*7} = 0.8422[/tex]

[tex]P(X > 7) = 1 - P(X \leq 7) = 1 - 0.8422 = 0.1578[/tex]

15.78% probability that the next customer will arrive in more than 7 ​minutes

​c) What is the probability that the next customer will arrive between 1 and 6 ​minutes?

[tex]P(1 \leq X \leq 6) = P(X \leq 6) - P(X \leq 1)[/tex]

[tex]P(X \leq 6) = 1 - e^{-0.2638*6} = 0.7946[/tex]

[tex]P(X \leq 1) = 1 - e^{-0.2638*1} = 0.2319[/tex]

[tex]P(1 \leq X \leq 6) = P(X \leq 6) - P(X \leq 1) = 0.7946 - 0.2319 = 0.5627[/tex]

56.27% probability that the next customer will arrive between 1 and 6 ​minutes