A group of realtors estimates that​ 23% of all homes purchased last year were considered investment properties. If a sample of 800 homes sold last year is​ obtained, what is the probability that at least 175 homes are going to be used as investment​ property? Round to four decimal places.

Respuesta :

Answer:

Probability = 0.77488

Step-by-step explanation:

Since a sample was obtained, this problem is working with the sampling distribution of the sample proportion (p').l which we will need to find the probability.

A sampling distribution of the sample proportion has a mean equal to the population proportion (p).

The standard deviation of the distribution is equal to √((p(1-p))/n).

The sampling distribution in this problem will be normal because the sample size is large.

For this question, the sample proportion(p) is; 23% = 0.23

The sample size(n) is 800, so the standard deviation is;

SD = √((p(1-p))/n) = √((0.23(1-0.23))/800)

SD = 0.0149

The sample proportion is;

(p') = 175/800

p' = 0.21875

Now, for the Z-score;

z = (p' - mean)/SD

z = (0.21875 - 0.23)/ 0.0149

z = - 0.755

Now for the probability, since at least 175,it will be right tail. Thus from the table i attached;

P(z > -0.755) = 1 - 0.22663 = 0.77488

Ver imagen AFOKE88

Using the normal approximation to the binomial, it is found that there is a 0.7881 = 78.81% probability that at least 175 homes are going to be used as investment​ property.

In a normal distribution with mean [tex]\mu[/tex] and standard deviation [tex]\sigma[/tex], the z-score of a measure X is given by:

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

  • It measures how many standard deviations the measure is from the mean.  
  • After finding the z-score, we look at the z-score table and find the p-value associated with this z-score, which is the percentile of X.
  • The binomial distribution is the probability of x successes on n trials, with p probability of a success on each trial. It can be approximated to the normal distribution with [tex]\mu = np, \sigma = \sqrt{np(1-p)}[/tex].

In this problem:

  • 23% of all homes purchased last year were considered investment properties, hence [tex]p = 0.23[/tex]
  • Sample of 800 homes, hence [tex]n = 800[/tex].

The mean and the standard deviation for the approximation are given by:

[tex]\mu = np = 800(0.23) = 184[/tex]

[tex]\sigma = \sqrt{np(1 - p)} = \sqrt{800(0.23)(0.77)} = 11.9[/tex]

Using continuity correction, the probability that at least 175 homes are going to be used as investment​ property is [tex]P(X \geq 175 - 0.5) = P(X \geq 174.5)[/tex], which is 1 subtracted by the p-value of Z when X = 174.5.

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

[tex]Z = \frac{174.5 - 184}{11.9}[/tex]

[tex]Z = -0.8[/tex]

[tex]Z = -0.8[/tex] has a p-value of 0.2119.

1 - 0.2119 = 0.7881

0.7881 = 78.81% probability that at least 175 homes are going to be used as investment​ property.

A similar problem is given at https://brainly.com/question/24261244