A bottle maker believes that 14% of his bottles are defective. If the bottle maker is accurate, what is the probability that the proportion of defective bottles in a sample of 622 bottles would be less than 11%

Respuesta :

Answer:

[tex] z = \frac{0.11-0.14}{0.0139} = -2.156[/tex]

And we can use the normal standard distribution table and we got:

[tex] P(Z<-2.156) =0.0155[/tex]

Step-by-step explanation:

For this case we know the following info given:

[tex] p =0.14[/tex] represent the population proportion

[tex] n = 622[/tex] represent the sample size selected

We want to find the following proportion:

[tex] P(\hat p <0.11)[/tex]

For this case we can use the normal approximation since we have the following conditions:

i) np = 622*0.14 = 87.08>10

ii) n(1-p) = 622*(1-0.14) =534.92>10

The distribution for the sample proportion would be given by:

[tex] \hat p \sim N (p ,\sqrt{\frac{p(1-p)}{n}}) [/tex]

The mean is given by:

[tex] \mu_{\hat p}= 0.14[/tex]

And the deviation:

[tex]\sigma_{\hat p}= \sqrt{\frac{0.14*(1-0.14)}{622}}= 0.0139[/tex]

We can use the z score formula given by:

[tex] z=\frac{\hat p -\mu_{\hat p}}{\sigma_{\hat p}}[/tex]

And replacing we got:

[tex] z = \frac{0.11-0.14}{0.0139} = -2.156[/tex]

And we can use the normal standard distribution table and we got:

[tex] P(Z<-2.156) =0.0155[/tex]