If officials wanted to keep the percentage of people infected with polio less than 0.02% of the total population, when would quarantining have had to happen?

Year

U.S. Population

Number of Polio Cases (Estimated)

1938

129,824,939

2,000

1939

130,879,718

7,500

1940

132,122,446

10,000

1941

133,402,471

9,500

1942

134,859,553

4,500

1943

136,739,353

12,100

1944

138,397,345

19,000

1945

139,928,165

13,000

1946

141,388,566

25,500

1947

144,126,071

11,000

1948

146,631,302

28,800

1949

149,188,130

42,000

1950

152,271,417

33,500

1951

154,877,889

29,000

1952

157,552,740

58,500

1953

160,184,192

36,000

1954

163,025,854

39,000

1955

165,931,202

29,000

1956

168,903,031

15,000