Please use the the following information for a and b: The current four-year interest rate is 6.25%The current one-year interest rate is 3.0%The expected one-year rate for one year from now is 5.0%The expected one-year rate for two years from now is 6.5%a. Assuming the Expections Hypothesis is correct, what is the expected one-year rate for three years from now

Respuesta :

Answer:

10.65%

Explanation:

To prevent arbitrage, investing in a 1-year security in each of the 1st, 2nd, 3rd and 4th years should yield the same return as investing in a 4-year security from the 1st year.

Accordingly,

[tex][(1+r_{1})(1+r_{2}) (1+r_{3})(1+r_{4})]^{\frac{1}{4}} = 1+R_{4}[/tex]

Where r = the 1-year rate of return for each given year

R = the 4-year rate of return

[tex][(1.03)(1.05) (1.065)(1+r_{4})]^{\frac{1}{4}} = 1.0625\\=1.151798(1+r_{4})=1.0625^{4} \\=1.151798(1+r_{4})=1.274429\\=(1+r_{4})=1.106469\\=r_{4}=0.106469[/tex]

Therefore, the expected one-year rate three years from now is 10.65%.