A study by Great Southern Home Insurance revealed that none of the stolen goods were recovered by the homeowners in 80 percent of reported thefts: [ 6 marks] a. During a period in which 200 thefts occurred, what is the probability that no stolen goods were recovered in 170 or more of the robberies? b. During a period in which 299 thefts occurred, what is the probability that no stolen goods were recovered in 150 or more robberies?

Respuesta :

Solution :

Given :

n = 200, p = 80% = 0.8, q = 1 - p = 0.2

[tex]$\mu = np$[/tex]

  [tex]$= 200 \times 0.8 = 160$[/tex]

[tex]$\sigma= \sqrt{npq}$[/tex]

[tex]$\sigma= \sqrt{200 \times 0.8 \times 0.2}$[/tex]

   = 5.6569

a). x = 169.5

∴ [tex]$z = \frac{x- \mu}{\sigma}$[/tex]

  [tex]$z = \frac{169.5- 160}{5.6569}$[/tex]

     = 1.6794

[tex]$P(x \geq 170) = P(z>1.6794) = 0.0465$[/tex]

Therefore, probability that the stolen goods were not recovered in 170 robberies or more is = 0.0465

b). x= 149.5

   [tex]$z = \frac{x- \mu}{\sigma}$[/tex]

   [tex]$z = \frac{149.5- 160}{5.6569} = -1.8561$[/tex]

[tex]$P(x \geq 150) = P(z>-1.8561) = 0.9683$[/tex]

Therefore the probability that the stolen goods were not recovered in the 150 or in more robberies is = 0.9683