What is the expected return on a portfolio that will decline in value by 10% in a recession, will increase by 15% in normal times, and will increase by 20% during boom times? Each scenario has an equal likelihood of occurrence.

Respuesta :

Answer:

8.34%

Explanation:

expected return of the stock = ∑(likeliness to occur of every economic state x expected return) = (1/3 x 20%) + (1/3 x 15%) - (1/3 x 10%) = 6.67% + 5% - 3.33% = 8.34%

The value of the expected return is equal to the sum of the individual returns times the percentage of likeliness to occur.