A company wants to estimate, at a 95% confidence level, the proportion of all families who own its product. A preliminary sample showed that 30.0% of the families in this sample own this company's product. The sample size that would limit the margin of error to be within 0.047 of the population proportion is:

Respuesta :

Answer:

The sample size is of 366.

Step-by-step explanation:

In a sample with a number n of people surveyed with a probability of a success of [tex]\pi[/tex], and a confidence level of [tex]1-\alpha[/tex], we have the following confidence interval of proportions.

[tex]\pi \pm z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}}[/tex]

In which

z is the z-score that has a p-value of [tex]1 - \frac{\alpha}{2}[/tex].

The margin of error is of:

[tex]M = z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}}[/tex]

A preliminary sample showed that 30.0% of the families in this sample own this company's product.

This means that [tex]\pi = 0.3[/tex]

95% confidence level

So [tex]\alpha = 0.05[/tex], z is the value of Z that has a p-value of [tex]1 - \frac{0.05}{2} = 0.975[/tex], so [tex]Z = 1.96[/tex].

The sample size that would limit the margin of error to be within 0.047 of the population proportion is:

This is n for which [tex]M = 0.047[/tex]. So

[tex]M = z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}}[/tex]

[tex]0.047 = 1.96\sqrt{\frac{0.3*0.7}{n}}[/tex]

[tex]0.047\sqrt{n} = 1.96\sqrt{0.3*0.7}[/tex]

[tex]\sqrt{n} = \frac{1.96\sqrt{0.3*0.7}}{0.047}[/tex]

[tex](\sqrt{n})^2 = (\frac{1.96\sqrt{0.3*0.7}}{0.047})^2[/tex]

[tex]n = 365.2[/tex]

Rounding up:

The sample size is of 366.