A politician estimates that 61% of his constituents will vote for him in the coming election. How many constituents are required for a random sample to obtain a margin of error of at most 0. 03 with 95% confidence

Respuesta :

Using the z-distribution, as we are working with a proportion, it is found that 1016 constituents are required.

What is a confidence interval of proportions?

A confidence interval of proportions is given by:

[tex]\pi \pm z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}}[/tex]

In which:

  • [tex]\pi[/tex] is the sample proportion.
  • z is the critical value.
  • n is the sample size.

The margin of error is given by:

[tex]M = z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}}[/tex]

In this problem, we have a 95% confidence level, hence[tex]\alpha = 0.95[/tex], z is the value of Z that has a p-value of [tex]\frac{1+0.95}{2} = 0.975[/tex], so the critical value is z = 1.96.

The estimate is of [tex]\pi = 0.61[/tex], while the margin of error is of M = 0.03, hence solving for n we find the minimum sample size.

[tex]M = z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}}[/tex]

[tex]0.03 = 1.96\sqrt{\frac{0.61(0.39)}{n}}[/tex]

[tex]0.03\sqrt{n} = 1.96\sqrt{0.61(0.39)}[/tex]

[tex]\sqrt{n} = \frac{1.96\sqrt{0.61(0.39)}}{0.03}[/tex]

[tex](\sqrt{n})^2 = \left(\frac{1.96\sqrt{0.61(0.39)}}{0.03}\right)^2[/tex]

[tex]n = 1015.5[/tex]

Rounding up, 1016 constituents are required.

More can be learned about the z-distribution at https://brainly.com/question/25890103