n a chemical plant, 24 holding tanks are used for final product storage. Four tanks areselected at random and without replacement. Suppose that six of the tanks contain material inwhich the viscosity exceeds the customer requirements.(a) What is the probability that exactly one tank in the sample contains high-viscosity material

Respuesta :

The probability that exactly one tank in the sample contains high-viscosity material is P(A) = 0,4607 or P(A) = 46,07 %

The probability of an event (A) is for definition:-

  • The probability of an event occurring is intuitively understood to be the likelihood or chance of it occurring.
  • In the very simplest cases, the probability of a particular event A occurring from an experiment is obtained from the number of ways that A can occur divided by the total number of possible outcomes.

P(A) = Number of favorable events/ Total number of events FE/TE

If A and B are complementary events ( the sum of them is equal to 1) then:

P(A) = 1 - P(B)

The total number of events is:

C ( 24,4) = 24! / 4! ( 24 - 4 )!    ⇒  C ( 24,4) = 24! / 4! * 20!

C ( 24,4) = 24*23*22*21*20! / 4! * 20!  

C ( 24,4) = 24*23*22*21/4*3*2C ( 24,4) = 24*23*22*21/4*3*2    ⇒  C ( 24,4) =  10626

TE = 10626

Splitting the group of tanks in two 6 with h-v  and 24-6 (18) without h-v

we get that total number of favorable events is the product of:

FE = 6* C ( 18, 3)  = 6 * 18! / 3!*15!  =  18*17*16*15!/15!

FE =  4896

Then P(A) ( 1 tank in the sample contains h-v material is:

P(A) = 4896/10626

P(A) = 0,4607     or   P(A) = 46,07 %

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