According to Campbell's surge and decline theory, midterm elections favor President's opposition Party.
The theory of surge and decline suggests that the surge of stimulation occurring during presidential elections subsides during midterm elections, accounting for the differences we observe in turnouts and results.
the surge-and-decline hypothesis. a hypothesis that claims the spike in stimulation seen throughout presidential elections declines throughout midterm elections, explaining the variations we see in voter turnout and outcomes. representation as a whole.
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